New Perspectives on
Globalization and Economics

The Global Economic Dynamics project (GED) makes complex economic dynamics transparent and understandable. The project examines the causes and effects of economic trends, as well as the connections linking one trend to another.

It’s About Time: US to Normalize Relations with Cuba

December 18, 2014

On the morning of December 17, a surprise prisoner swap between the United States and Cuba triggered a series of events that appear to herald a major thaw in relations between the two countries—relations that have been frozen for over five decades. More ...

Why the Transatlantic Partnership is about more than “Just Europe and The U.S.” (1/2)

December 17, 2014

For “the most contested acronym in Europe”, 2015 could be a chance for a fresh start for TTIP. However, to lift the current gridlock, proponents must do far more than simply assuaging European fears on food safety and environmental standards. More ...

Jason Furman Welcomes But Admits Challenges to Globalization

December 10, 2014

In this post we set out to get an opinion on how global interconnectedness affects the biggest economy on the planet and how the U.S. government deals with globalization's challenges. More ...

On the Lookout for Alternatives

December 4, 2014

In our last post we had a look at how digitalization and globalization cause income disparity in the developed world to rise. This time around we want to take a shot at predicting how these dynamics could shape the future. More ...

GED VIZ in Action: Students Giving Our Tool a Try

November 28, 2014

Following a lecture at the Universität Siegen, our GED VIZ expert Jan Arpe invited the students to take part in a little competition: Find an interesting topic and use the GED VIZ tool to back up your thesis. Here are the two winning articles (only in German). More ...

Brazil:
How To Kick-start Growth
in 5 Charts

November 21, 2014

The reelection of President Dilma Rousseff suggests that a majority of Brazilians still believes she can steer the country out of its current malaise. Our new working paper suggests a 5-step-strategy. More ...

Pacific Pumas - The Pacific Alliance's Star Economies

November 18, 2014

Chile, Mexico, Peru have managed, uniquely in Latin America, to couple growth with stability while keeping debt & deficit levels within Maastricht criteria. A conference in Madrid explores opportunities for European countries to strengthen economic ties with the Pacific Pumas. More ...

The Divisive Powers of the Digital and the Global

November 13, 2014

The GED team has been trying hard to get their heads around the effects of digitalization and globalization. In this first post we want to capture the status quo. Where do we stand today? More ...

How to Visualize (the Development of) Global Trade Cooperation?

November 12, 2014

For those of us studying data every day, the opportunity to make something visually beautiful with numbers is rewarding. So we’re happy to have been short-listed for the Kantar Information Is Beautiful AwardsMore ...

GED LAB Series (1) - How to Get Out of the Crisis?

November 7, 2014

In this new series we examine the euro crisis. Straight from our think tank kitchen (GED LAB) the GED team will be analyzing the euro crisis and present pragmatic ways that could solve the problems. In the first post of this series we investigate the question what triggered the euro crisis and scrutinize the existing clichés. More ...

Unpacking the Box: Rome Conference Opens Forum for TTIP Debate

November 7, 2014

TTIP has been in the works for two years now, but many feel the negotiations have lost both momentum and direction. To spark a more constructive debate, experts from across the political, social and business sectors met in Rome on Wednesday, October 29, to share their perspectives at the TTIP Reloaded Conference. More ...

Is Europe Better off Without TTIP?

November 3, 2014

What would be the consequences if TTIP didn't happen? GED Project measures opportunity costs of failed negotiations.
More ...

Five Steps to Kickstart Brazilian Growth

October 27, 2014

On Sunday, October 26, 108 million Brazilians voted in the second and final round of the country’s presidential election. By a slim but definitive margin (52 percent to 48 percent), incumbent Dilma Rousseff defeated challenger Aécio Neves. Her new term runs through 2018. The results suggest that this election was not about change but rather about continuation—which candidate could help Brazil’s new middle class continue its upward mobility. More ...

TTIP: A Spark for Global Growth Or A Race to the Bottom in Standards? Opposing Voices Coming to Rome October 29th

October 21, 2014

In the 21st century, nuanced political and economic debate is all too often overshadowed by the loudest voices in the room. Constructive debate is passé and emotions rule. More ...

GED at the Global Economic Symposium in Malaysia

October 9, 2014

The Global Economic Symposium was held in Kuala Lumpur on September 6-8. "Restructuring Economies, Transforming Societies" was the theme of the conference. Together with former WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy and other participants, Global Economic Dynamics took part in the session "Shaping a Free and Fair World Trade Order"More ...

GED SHORTS #04:
Globalization - Opportunities and Challenges
of Global Growth

September 22, 2014

Who really wins from globalization? For supporters it is the key 21st century growth motor. For opponents globalization facilitates inequality and a race to the bottom in terms of standards. The Globalization Report 2014 by the GED team looks at 42 countries' economic growth. Find all the surprising discoveries in the latest issue of our eMagazine GED SHORTS. More ...

STUDY:
Brazil and Germany: A 21st-Century Relationship
Opportunities in Trade, Investment and Finance

September 1, 2014

21st Century economic development may hinge upon the ability of developed economies to combine their expertise with the dynamism of emerging markets. With this in mind, Brazil and Germany present many opportunities for fruitful bilateral trade and investment. More ...

POLICY BRIEF: 
Argentina - Holding Up After Holding Out

August 1, 2014

Argentina's latest default is unlikely to produce the political and economic fallout of previous failures to re-pay sovereign debt. The case may also prompt a new examination of the role of investors of distressed debt.
Our Policy Brief sheds light on the economic, political and legal consequences of Argentina's debt crisis. More ...

STUDY:
20 Years of the European Single Market:
The Growth Effects of EU Integration

June 28, 2014

The ongoing European integration has increased the economic growth of participating national economies. Every country except for Greece has been able to achieve a higher per capita income within the last two decades. Read more about the development of the European single market in our Policy Brief. More ...

GED SHORTS #03:
Pacific Pumas - An Emerging Model for Emerging Markets

June 3, 2014

Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru have turned into economic overachievers. The four markets are committed to sound macroeconomic policy, global integration and stronger democratic institutions. Discover the most important facts about the Pacific Pumas in the latest issue of our eMagazine GED SHORTS. More ...

STUDY: 
Who Profits Most from Globalization?

March 13, 2014

On average, the more a country proceeds its interconnection with the rest of the world, the greater its economic growth will be. The question is: Who benefits the most from globalization? More ...

GED SHORTS #02:
The Micro-Effects of TTIP

October 04, 2013

Who would benefit from the trade creation effects between Germany and the USA? GED SHORTS #02 sheds light on the regional value creation and employment effects in Germany’s 16 states, for 16 different industry sectors, 3 education groups and 88 occupational groups.

The effects of a transatlantic free trade agreement on people, industries and regions throughout Germany are complex. The second issue of our eMagazine provides you with multi-media generated data. clear and easy to understand. More ...

GED SHORTS #01:
How TTIP Would Affect the European Economy

June 17, 2013

Who are the winners and losers in a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP). What does TTIP mean for employment? How would it affect economic disparities in the EU? Are the effects a threat to European cohesion? Find the answers in GED SHORTS #01, the first edition of our eMagazine. More ...

Interviews